Dambudziko resimba reEuropean rinotungamira kudiwa kwekuchengetedza simba remba

Sezvo musika wemagetsi weEurope uri kuramba uchichinja-chinja, kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi negasi rechisikigo kwaita zvakare kuti vanhu vafunge nezvekuzvimiririra kwesimba uye kudzora mutengo.

1. Mamiriro ezvinhu aripo ekushomeka kwesimba muEurope

① Kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kwawedzera simba remagetsi

MunaNovember 2023, mutengo wemagetsi wekutengesa munyika makumi maviri nemasere dzeEurope wakakwira kusvika pa118.5 euros/MWh, kuwedzera kwemwedzi-pa-mwedzi kwe44%. Kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kuri kuisa dzvinyiriro huru kuvashandisi vedzimba nevemakambani.

Kunyanya panguva dzepamusoro pekushandisa magetsi, kusagadzikana kwesimba rekupa kwakawedzera kuderera kwemutengo wemagetsi, zvichifambisa kudiwa kwekushandisa kwesimba rekuchengetedza masisitimu.

② Gasi rinowanikwa rakasimba uye mitengo iri kukwira

Kubva muna Zvita 20, 2023, mutengo weDutch TTF wegasi remangwana wakakwira kusvika pa43.5 euros/MWh, uchikwira ne26% kubva pakaderera musi waGunyana 20. Izvi zvinoratidza kuenderera mberi kweEurope ichitsamira pagasi rechisikigo uye kuwedzera kudiwa panguva yechando.

③ Yakawedzera njodzi yekutsamira kunze kwesimba

Europe yakarasikirwa nehuwandu hwakachipa hwegasi remusikirwo mushure mekupokana kweRussia-Ukrainian. Kunyangwe yakawedzera kuedza kwayo kuunza LNG kubva kuUnited States neMiddle East, mutengo wakakwira zvakanyanya, uye dambudziko remagetsi harina kudzikiswa zvachose.

2. Simba rinokurudzira kukura kwekudiwa kwekuchengetedza simba remhuri

① Kuchimbidza kudiwa kudzikisa mutengo wemagetsi

Kuchinja-chinja kwemitengo yemagetsi kunowanzoita kuti vashandisi vagone kuchengetedza magetsi kana mitengo yemagetsi yakaderera uye kushandisa magetsi kana mitengo yemagetsi yakakwira kuburikidza nemagetsi ekuchengetedza magetsi. Data inoratidza kuti magetsi emagetsi edzimba ane simba rekuchengetedza masisitimu anogona kuderedzwa ne30% -50%.

② Kuwana simba rekuzviriritira

Kusagadzikana kwegasi rechisikigo uye magetsi ekupa kwaita kuti vashandisi vemba vasarudze kuisa photovoltaic + simba rekuchengetedza masisitimu ekuvandudza kusununguka kwesimba uye kuderedza kutsamira kune kunze kwesimba rekupa.

③ Kukurudzira kwepolicy kwakakurudzira zvikuru kuvandudzwa kwesimba rekuchengetedza

Germany, France, Italy nedzimwe nyika dzakaunza nhevedzano yemitemo yekukurudzira kufarirwa kwesimba rekuchengetedza simba remhuri. Semuyenzaniso, "Annual Tax Act" yeGermany inobvisa mafotovoltaic madiki uye masisitimu ekuchengetedza simba kubva kumutero-wakawedzerwa mutero, uku ichipa rubatsiro rwekuisa.

④ Kufambira mberi kwetekinoroji kunoderedza mutengo wesimba rekuchengetedza masisitimu

Nekuenderera mberi kwekuenderera mberi kwelithium bhatiri tekinoroji, mutengo wesimba rekuchengetedza masisitimu wakaderera gore negore. Zvinoenderana nedata kubva kuInternational Energy Agency (IEA), kubvira 2023, mutengo wekugadzira mabhatiri e-lithium wakadzikira nezvikamu gumi neshanu muzana, zvichivandudza hupfumi hwesimba rekuchengetedza masisitimu.

3. Musika Mamiriro uye Remangwana Trends

① Mamiriro eEuropean Household Energy Storage Market

Muna 2023, kudiwa kwemusika wekuchengetedza simba repamba muEurope kuchakura nekukurumidza, iine simba idzva rekuchengetedza rakaiswa simba rinosvika 5.1GWh. Ichi chiverengero chinogaya hesitori pakupera kwa2022 (5.2GWh).

Semusika mukuru wekuchengetera magetsi edzimba muEurope, Germany inoverengera ingangoita 60% yemusika wese, kunyanya nekuda kwerutsigiro rwemitemo uye mitengo yakakwira yemagetsi.

② Kukura kwemusika tarisiro

Kukura kwenguva pfupi: Muna 2024, kunyangwe kukura kwemusika wepasi rose wekuchengetedza simba unotarisirwa kudzikira, nekuwedzera kwegore-pa-gore kunosvika 11%, musika weEuropean imba yekuchengetedza simba ucharamba uchikura nekuda kwezvinhu zvakadai sekuperevedza kwesimba uye kutsigirwa kwemitemo.

Kukura kwepakati uye kwenguva refu: Zvinotarisirwa kuti panosvika 2028, iyo yakawedzera yakaiswa yemusika weEuropean imba yekuchengetera simba ichapfuura 50GWh, ine avhareji yegore yekukura kwechikamu che20% -25%.

③ Tekinoroji uye mutemo dhiraivha

Smart grid tekinoroji: AI-inotyairwa yakangwara gidhi uye simba optimization tekinoroji inowedzera kuvandudza kushanda kwesimba rekuchengetedza masisitimu uye kubatsira vashandisi kubata zvirinani mitoro yemagetsi.
Inoenderera mberi nerutsigiro rwemitemo: Mukuwedzera kune rubatsiro uye mitero inokurudzirwa, nyika dzinorongawo kupasisa mutemo kukurudzira kushandiswa kwakapararira kwe photovoltaic uye magetsi ekuchengetedza magetsi. Semuenzaniso, France inoronga kuwedzera 10GWh yemapurojekiti ekuchengetedza simba repamba panosvika 2025.