Ikibazo cy’ingufu z’i Burayi gitera kwiyongera gukenera ingufu zo mu rugo

Mu gihe isoko ry’ingufu z’i Burayi rikomeje guhindagurika, izamuka ry’amashanyarazi n’ibiciro bya gaze byongeye gukangurira abantu kwita ku bwigenge bw’ingufu no kugenzura ibiciro.

1. Muri iki gihe ikibazo cyo kubura ingufu mu Burayi

① Kuzamuka kw'ibiciro by'amashanyarazi byongereye ingufu z'igiciro cy'ingufu

Ugushyingo 2023, igiciro cy’amashanyarazi menshi mu bihugu 28 by’Uburayi cyazamutse kigera kuri 118.5 euro / MWh, ukwezi ku kwezi kwiyongera 44%. Kuzamuka kw'ibiciro by'ingufu birashyira igitutu kinini kubakoresha urugo ndetse nabakozi.

By'umwihariko mu gihe cyo gukoresha amashanyarazi menshi, ihungabana ry’itangwa ry’ingufu ryongereye ihindagurika ry’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi, bituma hakenerwa uburyo bwo kubika ingufu.

Gukomera gazi isanzwe no kuzamuka kw'ibiciro

Kugeza ku ya 20 Ukuboza 2023, igiciro cy’ibiciro bya gaze ya gazi ya TTF yo mu Buholandi cyazamutse kigera kuri 43.5 euro / MWh, kikaba cyiyongereyeho 26% bivuye ku gipimo cyo hasi ku ya 20 Nzeri.Ibyo bigaragaza ko Uburayi bukomeje gushingira ku itangwa rya gaze gasanzwe ndetse n’ubushake bukenewe mu gihe cy’itumba.

Kongera ibyago byo guterwa ningufu zitumizwa mu mahanga

Uburayi bwatakaje gazi nyinshi zihenze nyuma y’amakimbirane y’Uburusiya na Ukraine. Nubwo yongereye ingufu mu gutumiza LNG muri Amerika no mu Burasirazuba bwo Hagati, igiciro cyazamutse cyane, kandi ikibazo cy’ingufu nticyigeze kigabanuka burundu.

2. Imbaraga zitera kwiyongera kubikenerwa byo kubika ingufu murugo

Need Gukenera byihutirwa kugabanya ibiciro byamashanyarazi

Guhindagurika kenshi kw'ibiciro by'amashanyarazi bituma bishoboka ko abakoresha babika amashanyarazi mugihe ibiciro by'amashanyarazi ari bike kandi bagakoresha amashanyarazi mugihe ibiciro by'amashanyarazi biri hejuru binyuze muri sisitemu yo kubika ingufu. Amakuru yerekana ko ikiguzi cyamashanyarazi yingo zifite ibikoresho byo kubika ingufu zishobora kugabanuka 30% -50%.

Kugera ku mbaraga zo kwihaza

Guhungabana kwa gaze gasanzwe n’amashanyarazi byatumye abakoresha urugo bahitamo gushyiraho uburyo bwo kubika ingufu za Photovoltaque + kugira ngo bateze imbere ubwigenge bw’ingufu no kugabanya gushingira ku gutanga ingufu zituruka hanze.

Ints Gutera inkunga politiki byateje imbere cyane iterambere ryo kubika ingufu

Ubudage, Ubufaransa, Ubutaliyani ndetse n’ibindi bihugu byashyizeho politiki zitandukanye zo gushimangira uburyo bwo kubika ingufu zo mu ngo. Kurugero, Ubudage "Amategeko yimisoro ngarukamwaka" busonera sisitemu ntoya yo kubika amashanyarazi n’ingufu zo gutanga umusoro ku nyongeragaciro, mu gihe itanga inkunga yo kwishyiriraho.

Progress Iterambere ry'ikoranabuhanga rigabanya ikiguzi cya sisitemu yo kubika ingufu

Hamwe nogukomeza gutera imbere kwikoranabuhanga rya batiri ya lithium, igiciro cya sisitemu yo kubika ingufu cyaragabanutse uko umwaka utashye. Dukurikije imibare yatanzwe n’ikigo mpuzamahanga gishinzwe ingufu (IEA), kuva mu 2023, igiciro cy’ibicuruzwa bya batiri ya lithium cyaragabanutseho hafi 15%, bizamura cyane ubukungu bw’ububiko bw’ingufu.

3. Imiterere yisoko hamwe nigihe kizaza

Imiterere y'Isoko ryo Kubika Ingufu zo mu rugo mu Burayi

Mu 2023, isoko ryo kubika ingufu zo murugo mu Burayi riziyongera cyane, hamwe n’ububiko bushya bwo kubika ingufu zashyizwe kuri 5.1GWh. Iyi mibare ahanini igereranya ibarura mu mpera za 2022 (5.2GWh).

Nka soko rinini ryo kubika ingufu mu ngo mu Burayi, Ubudage bufite hafi 60% by’isoko rusange, bitewe ahanini n’inkunga ya politiki ndetse n’ibiciro by’amashanyarazi biri hejuru.

Amahirwe yo gukura kw'isoko

Ubwiyongere bw'igihe gito: Mu 2024, nubwo umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’isoko ryo kubika ingufu ku isi biteganijwe ko uzagenda gahoro, hamwe n’umwaka-mwaka wiyongereyeho hafi 11%, isoko ry’ububiko bw’ingufu zo mu Burayi rizakomeza kugira umuvuduko mwinshi wo kwiyongera. kubera ibintu nkibura ry'ingufu no gushyigikira politiki.

Ubwiyongere buciriritse kandi burambye: Biteganijwe ko mu 2028, ubushobozi bwo kwishyiriraho ingufu z’isoko ryo kubika ingufu z’ibihugu by’i Burayi buzarenga 50GWh, hamwe n’ikigereranyo cy’ubwiyongere bw’umwaka buri mwaka cya 20% -25%.

③ Ikoranabuhanga na disiki ya politiki

Ikoranabuhanga rya gride ya Smart: Ikoreshwa rya AI ikoreshwa na tekinoroji ya tekinoroji hamwe nogukoresha ingufu za tekinoroji kurushaho kunoza imikorere ya sisitemu yo kubika ingufu no gufasha abakoresha gucunga neza imitwaro yingufu.
Inkunga ikomeje ya politiki: Usibye inkunga no gushimangira imisoro, ibihugu birateganya kandi gushyiraho amategeko agamije guteza imbere ikoreshwa rya sisitemu yo kubika amashanyarazi n’ingufu. Kurugero, Ubufaransa burateganya kongera 10GWh yimishinga yo kubika ingufu murugo muri 2025.